Tag: economic growth

OUTPUT, GROWTH, AND CONVERGENCE IN A GREATIVE REGION: AN ANALYSIS OF SOME MEASUREMENT ISSUES

Amitrajeet A. BATABYAL

Department of Economics, Rochester Institute of Technology, 92 Lomb Memorial Drive, Rochester, NY 14623-5604, USA.

aabgsh@rit.edu

Abstract

We study some measurement issues that arise when analyzing the long run behavior of the  jth creative region’s time t log output per creative class member (yj(t)) when this region is part of an aggregate economy of j=1,…N creative regions. We focus first (second) on absolute (relative) convergence. In the absolute (relative) convergence case, the N creative regions are similar (dissimilar) in that they all have the same (different) balanced growth path (BGP) level of log output per creative class member denoted by yBGP(yjBGP) In the absolute convergence case, we analyze how to estimate the speed of convergence parameter (σ) and then discuss the relationship between the variance of yj(t) and that of yj(0) In the relative convergence case, we study the error associated with estimating σ using the methodology of the absolute convergence case. Finally, suppose yjBGP= a + bXj where Xj is an explanatory variable such as creative capital and a and b are positive constants. Here, we study how to estimate b from our knowledge of the coefficients of a related cross-region growth regression.

Keywords: Convergence, Creative Capital, Economic Growth, Measurement, Output

JEL classification: R11, C18

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THE CHAOTIC UNEMPLOYMENT RATE GROWTH MODEL: EURO AREA

Vesna D. JABLANOVIC

Professor of Economics, University of Belgrade, Faculty of Agriculture, Nemanjina 6 , 11081  Belgrade, Republic of Serbia

vesnajab@ptt.rs

Abstract

The unemployment rate in the Euro Area fall to 10.026 per cent in 2016. Among the Member States, the lowest unemployment rates were recorded in Germany and Malta. On the other hand, the highest unemployment rates were observed in Greece and Spain. Unemployment rates have fallen from their postcrisis peaks, but remain high.  The basic aims of this paper  are: firstly,  to provide a relatively simple chaotic unemployment rate growth model that is capable of generating stable equilibria, cycles, or chaos, and secondly, to to analyze the unemployment rate growth stability in the period 1991-2015 in the Euro Area.. This paper confirms stable growth of the unemployment rate in the Euro Area in the observed period.

Keywords: Unemployment rate, Economic Growth, Euro Area

JEL classification: J64, 040, 052

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INCREASING RETURNS IN A MODEL WITH CREATIVE AND PHYSICAL CAPITAL: DOES A BALANCED GROWTH PATH EXIST?

Amitrajeet A. BATABYAL

Department of Economics, Rochester Institute of Technology, 92 Lomb Memorial Drive, Rochester, NY 14623-5604, USA.
aabgsh@rit.edu

Abstract

In this note we study aspects of economic growth in a region that produces a final consumption good with creative and physical capital. This consumption good is manufactured with a production function that exhibits increasing returns to scale. Our analysis leads to three results. First, we compute the growth rate of creative capital in our regional economy. Second, we show that despite the presence of increasing returns, the regional economy under study converges to a balanced growth path (BGP). Finally, we compute the growth rates of physical capital and output on the BGP.

Keywords: Balanced Growth Path, Creative Capital, Creative Region, Economic Growth, Increasing Returns

JEL classification: R11, D20
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