THE IMPACT OF CHANGE ON REGIONAL ECONOMIC: PARAMETERS AND DEPENDENCIES

Inna MANAEVA

Doctor of Economics, Professor of the Department of World Economy, Belgorod State National Research University, Russia, http://www.bsu.edu.ru

In.manaeva@yandex.ru

Angela SHVETSOVA

Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor of the Department of World Economy, http://www.bsu.edu.ru

mikhajjlovaangela@yandex.ru

Abstract

Research on the adaptation of economic growth dynamics to climate change is important for sustainable development on local to global scales. It is important to quantify the balance between two interrelated systems to generate effective knowledge to create a favorable environment in conditions of rapid economic development. The purpose of the work is to develop and test a methodology for assessing the adaptation of regional economic growth to climate change in the regions of the Russian Federation. The author’s methodology is based on obtaining the coefficient of adaptation (KA) of economic growth to climate change in the regions of the Russian Federation. The analysis of the autocorrelation КА of the spacecraft within the borders of the federal districts by calculating the global and local Moran’s index makes it possible to determine the similarities and differences of the adaptation process in neighboring regions. The following indicators were identified for the study: a) economic sphere: GRP per capita, industrial production index, real monetary incomes of the population, the volume of investments in fixed assets per capita; b) climate: average annual air temperature, the amount of precipitation. Information base: data from the Federal State Statistics Service and the Weather and Climate portal. The object of research is the regions of the Central Federal District, the Southern Federal District and the Siberian Federal District. Study period: 2000, 2003, 2009-2021. Periods of decrease and growth of the coefficient of adaptation, a decrease in the differentiation of regions by the value of the KA empirically have been identified. The calculations performed demonstrate spatial heterogeneity. The indicators of the coefficient of adaptation in the southern regions and parts of the regions of central Russia are significantly higher, which indicates a more coordinated development in these regions. Regions demonstrating a relatively higher level of adaptation to economic growth and climate change have a more differentiated economy and a favorable geographical location. The results obtained can be used to develop and implement climate risk management policies and analyze the economic costs of climate change impacts.

Keywords: Region, Climate, Ecology, GRP, Communication coordination coefficient, Economic development, Air temperature, Precipitation, Moran’s index, Autocorrelation

JEL classification: R12

pp. 37-55

read more

ADMINISTRATIVE CAPACITY AND INSTITUTIONAL DESIGN IN NATIONAL LOCAL GOVERNMENT FUNDING: AN EX-ANTE EVALUATION OF THE “ANTONIS TRITSIS” PROGRAM IN GREECE

Evangelos MAKRYVELIOS

Postdoctoral Researcher, Department of Business Administration, School of Economics and Political Sciences, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens 105 59, Greece

vmakrivelios@ba.uoa.gr

(Corresponding AUTHOR)

Theodore PAPADOGONAS

Professor, Department of Business Administration, School of Economics and Political Sciences, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens 105 59, Greece

thpap@ba.uoa.gr

Abstract

This paper discusses the design, administrative sufficiency, and perceived efficiency of the Antonis Tritsis special development program to support the local government in Greece. The analysis will take an ex-ante evaluation which will look at the capacity of an administration, the institution design and the conditions of implementation of programs directly than the actual economic outcomes. The empirical research is founded on theoretical questionnaire and structured interviews with top managers, who are personally engaged in the program designing, financing, and monitoring, and is supported with S.W.O.T. analysis. The goal is to embed the perceptions of the strategic appropriateness, institutional functionality as well as implementation constraints with an focus on the inequality in administrative capacity between the municipalities and institutional complexity. The results indicate that the program can be viewed as strategically significant and financially innovative especially because the entire funding of the project financial sources was in place. At the same time, limitations related to the uneven administrative capacity of local authorities, institutional complexity, and the need to strengthen technical support, especially for small and island municipalities, are highlighted. The study contributes to the literature on local governance by offering evidence-based policy guidance for the design of more effective and equitable funding programs.

Keywords: E-ante evaluation, administrative capacity, public investments, local government, Greece

JEL classification: H70, H72, R10, R50, R58, D73

pp. 13-36

read more