GRADUALLY SHIFTING THE NATIONAL PRODUCTION MODEL’S CENTER OF GRAVITY: INVESTING IN REGIONAL COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES FOR DEMOGRAPHIC RESTRUCTURING

Theodoros DIMOPOULOS

Researscher, Department of Physiotherapy, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly

tdimopoulos@uth.gr

Aristi TSOKANI

Researscher, Department of Physiotherapy, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly

atsokani@uth.gr

Christos GENITSAROPOULOS

Post-doctoral Researcher, Department of Physiotherapy, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly

cgenits@uth.gr

Georgios XANTHOS

Associate Professor, Department of Business Administration & Tourism, School of Management and Economics Sciences, Hellenic Mediterranean University

xanthosg@hmu.gr

Angeliki MENEGAKI

Professor, Department of Business Administration & Tourism, School of Management and Economics Sciences, Hellenic Mediterranean University

amenegaki@hmu.gr

Eleni KAPRELI

Professor, Department of Physiotherapy, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly

ekapreli@uth.gr

Nikolaos STRIMPAKOS

Professor, Department of Physiotherapy, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Thessaly

nikstrimp@uth.gr

Abstract

Greece records an extremely negative performance in terms of balance between birth and death rates while existing data highlight a clear imbalance regarding population outflow. The paper intends to portray the demographic trajectory both at an EU and at a national level, coupled with providing at a certain extend insights about relevant projections. Additionally, the paper emphasizes on the case of Fthiotida (a Regional Unity falling within the Region of Central Greece) and the depopulation recorded between 2011-2021, while it describes Central Greece’s current tourism performance and its impact in terms of economic indicators. Taking those into consideration the paper’s initial purpose is to provide various insights to promote current public discourse on the necessity of the effective utilization of the region’s natural thermal resources as a mean that may result in attracting investments related to tourism industry, creating sustainable and well-paid health-related jobs, and subsequently build the foundations of curtailing demographic vaporization taking place in the forementioned area. The methodological approach adopted is related to the review and content analysis of current literature, subsequent inputs included in institutional reports, data derived by official documentation and high institutional level interventions taken place within the public discourse. The paper concludes to the well-founded assumption that exploiting Fthiotida’s natural resources in terms of thermal/hot springs, as a complementary component, may contribute to the creation of an integrated tourism product, able to support regional economy, enforce the argument of gradual shifting the country’s productive model center of gravity, starting from certain sectors which are able to thrive in Greek regions, and establish conditions that may put a curb on population bloodletting.

Keywords: demography, tourism, economic growth, Greece, Fthiotida

pp. 51-72

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PATTERNS OF MAINLY TOURISM SECTORS AT LOCAL LEVEL BY EMPLOYEE’S CHARACTERISTICS USING GIS MULTIVARIATE CLUSTERING ANALYSIS – ROMANIA CASE STUDY

Cristina LINCARU

Dr, FeRSA, Department of Labour Market, National Scientific Research Institute for Labour and Social Protection, Bucharest, Romania ORCID ID: 0000-0001-6596-1820

cristina.lincaru@yahoo.de

Speranța PÎRCIOG

Dr, Scientific Director, National Scientific Research Institute for Labour and Social Protection, Bucharest, Romania ORCID ID: 0000-0003-0215-038X

pirciog@incsmps.ro

Draga ATANASIU

Senior Researcher, National Scientific Research Institute for Labour and Social Protection, Bucharest, Romania ORCID ID: 0000-0002-9695-8592

incsmps1@incsmps.ro

Cristina STROE

Senior Researcher, Department of Social Policies, National Scientific Research Institute for Labour and Social Protection, Bucharest, Romania ORCID ID: 0000-0001-8384-6084

cristinaradu@incsmps.ro

Vasilica CIUCĂ

Dr, Dr, General Director, National Scientific Research Institute for Labour and Social Protection, Bucharest, Romania ORCID ID: 0000-0003-4687-6377

silviaciuca@incsmps.ro

Adriana GRIGORESCU

Dr., Department of Public Management, National University of Political Studies and Public Administration,  Correspondent Member of Academy of Romanian Scientists, Bucharest, Romania ORCID ID: 0000-0003-4212-6974

adrianagrigorescu11@gmail.com

Abstract

The tourism sector, before the Corona Strikes, works as a inclusive development engine for many countries’ economies and labour markets. In a global world, with increasing travel opportunities, tourism offers both labours intensive and knowledge-intensive activities, across many economic sectors. Tourism is a spatially dependent sector and also a tradable one. The Methodology for tourism statistics (Eurostat 2014),  Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA 2010) and The International Recommendations for Tourism Statistics 2008 (IRTS 2008) differentiate the “mainly tourism” industries at four digits. We identify the natural cluster by number and pattern, at 3189 local spatial units (NUTS 5) by eight attribute variable employees: gender (male, female), age (youth, adult and aged) and education detained level (low, medium and high). Sectors are detailed at two digits only (H51- Air transport, I55 – Hotels and other accommodation facilities and N79-Activities of tourist agencies and tour operators; other reservation services and tourist assistance). Romanian National Institute of Statistics provides 2011 Census data. We apply the Multivariate Clustering Analysis with K Means algorithm as a Spatial Statistical Tool in Arc Gis Pro 2.3, an unsupervised machine learning an Artificial Intelligence technique, appropriate for Big Data. Clusters resulted illustrates natural hidden patterns of local labour markets pooling in the sense of Urban& Jacobian economies, but also some insight regarding the Morettian externalities sources. These results are useful for Regions Smart Specialisation Strategies development of human resources & talents to increase innovation capabilities and inclusive job creation, but also for a prompt recovery post-Covid Pandemic.

Keywords: tourism, labour force characteristics, Multivariate Clustering Analysis, local labour markets, regional specialisation, education level, age and gender analysis

JEL classification: J210, C38, R23

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TOURISM AND ECONOMIC GROWTH NEXUS IN INDONESIA: THE DYNAMIC PANEL DATA APPROACH

Elvina PRIMAYESA

Faculty of Economics and Business, Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia, Faculty of Economics, Andalas University, Padang, Indonesia

yesa040486@gmail.com

Wahyu WIDODO

Faculty of Economics and Business, Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia

wahyuwid2002@live.undip.ac.id

F.X. SUGIYANTO

Faculty of Economics and Business, Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia

fxsugiyanto09@gmail.com

Abstract

The positive impact of tourism on economic growth is generally influenced by various indicators at both global and national levels. However, the question remains whether tourism encourages economic growth or vice versa. This paper examines the importance of tourism as a conditioning factor for economic growth in Indonesia. The validity of the relationship between tourism and economic growth can be examined by using the dynamic panel data estimation approach and convergence analysis to provide evidence of the impact of tourism on economic growth in Indonesia. In accordance with the initial hypothesis on tourism and economic growth, the result shows that the former can encourage the latter, although there is no indication of convergence among provinces in Indonesia. Therefore, if the supply characteristics of the tourism sector are improved, then it can be considered as an alternative source for stimulating economic growth in Indonesia.

Keywords: Economic Growth, Tourism, Dynamic Panel Data, Convergence

JEL classification: C23, L83, O40, O53
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