ODA PROFILES AND DONOR-SIDE ECONOMIC OUTCOMES: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF JAPAN AND SWEDEN

Jungeun KIM

Senior Assistant Professor, Graduate School of Media Design, Keio University, 4 Chome-1-1 Hiyoshi, Kohoku Ward, Yokohama, Kanagawa 223-0061, Japan; Co-first author.

elly@kmd.keio.ac.jp

Woosik YU

Assistant Professor, Department of International Commerce, Keimyung University, 1095 Dalgubeol-darero, Dalseo-gu, Daegu 42601, Republic of Korea; Corresponding and co-first author.

wsyu1224@gmail.com

Abstract

This study examines how different Official Development Assistance (ODA) profiles are associated with donor-side macroeconomic outcomes by comparing Japan and Sweden from 1960 to 2020. Rather than treating donor intent as directly observable, the paper uses Japan and Sweden as analytically contrasting cases: Japan is characterized by an ODA profile oriented toward economic diplomacy and regional development, while Sweden is characterized by a norm-oriented and welfare-centered ODA profile. Using annual macroeconomic data from the Penn World Table, OECD DAC statistics, and the World Development Indicators, we estimate country-specific growth regressions for GDP per capita growth, productivity growth, employment-rate growth, composite input growth, and export growth. The results show that Japan’s ODA is not significantly associated with income, productivity, employment, or export growth under the reported specification, whereas Sweden’s ODA is positively associated with income, productivity, and employment-rate growth, but not export growth. These findings should be interpreted as case-specific associations rather than causal evidence that one aid profile generates superior domestic returns. The contribution of the paper is to shift attention toward donor-side economic outcomes and to develop a bounded comparative framework for examining how aid profiles, rather than aid volume alone, may relate to long-term domestic economic patterns.

Keywords: Official Development Assistance, Donor-Side Economic Outcomes, Japan, Sweden, Aid Strategy, Comparative Political Economy

JEL classification: F35, O47, F43

Acknowledgement: The authors, Jungeun Kim and Woosik Yu, are co-first authors.

pp. 159-173

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MANAGEMENT OF THE TERRITORY TAX POTENTIAL TO ENSURE ITS TAX SECURITY

Marina S. SHEMYAKINA

Cand.Econ.Sci., associate professor, Faculty of Economics, Chair of Accounting and Audit, Volga State University of Technology, Yoshkar-Ola, Russia, 424000, Yoshkar-Ola, pl. Lenina 3

ShemyakinaMS@volgatech.net

Elena A. MURZINA

Cand.Econ.Sci., associate professor, Faculty of Management and Law, Volga State University of Technology, Yoshkar-Ola, Russia, 424000, Yoshkar-Ola, pl. Lenina 3

MurzinaEA@volgatech.net

Tatiana V. YALYALIEVA

Cand.Econ.Sci., associate professor, Faculty of Management and Law Head of the Chair of Management and Law, Volga State University of Technology, Yoshkar-Ola, Russia, 424000, Yoshkar-Ola, pl. Lenina 3

YalyalievaTV@volgatech.net

Abstract

The authors investigated theoretical approaches to the tax potential category, substantiated the position that tax potential should be managed to ensure tax security of public law education and the basis of its assessment. Forecast models of tax potential developed in relation to the Republic of Mari El. The purpose of the study is to examine The purpose of the study is to examine structure of the consolidated budget tax revenue. One of the objectives of the study is to validate the uniformity of the tax revenue structure. The authors determined that the share of the three main taxes (personal income tax, corporate income tax and corporate property tax) in the total tax revenues of the consolidated budget does not practically change. Models are built using correlation-regression analysis, describing the dependence of macroeconomic indicators and the main sources of tax revenues. The results of the study is constructed model, which is used to determine the region tax potential.

Keywords: tax potential, tax security, tax revenues, assessment of tax potential

JEL classification: F43, Н2, H21
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DO EXPORTS OF OIL AND GAS STILL MATTER FOR REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA?

Saiful HURRI

Ph.D. Scholar in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala and Senior Lecturer, Universitas AlMuslim, Bireuen, Indonesia

saifulhurri3@gmail.com

Said MUHAMMAD

Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Indonesia

said@unsyiah.ac.id

Abd. JAMAL

Senior Lecturer, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Indonesia

abdjamal@unsyiah.ac.id

M. Shabri Abd. MAJID*

Senior Lecturer, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Indonesia

mshabri@unsyiah.ac.id

*Corresponding author

Abstract

Although Indonesia ranks as the world’s 17th oil and 6th gas producing country, but its production level has been slowly declining since the last few decades. Amidst the decline of oil and gas production, thus it is important to explore how this impacts the regional economic growth. Specifically, this study attempts to empirically examine the impact of oil and gas and non-oil and gas exports on the regional economic growth of Sumatra, Indonesia over the period 2008-2017 using the generalized method of moments (GMM) approach. The study found that oil and gas exports were no longer contributed positively to regional economic growth. On the other hand, non-oil and gas exports have positively contributed to regional economic growth. This implies that to further promote the growth of the regional economy the focus should be given on the expansion, value-added creation and diversification of non-oil and gas commodities.

Keywords: Regional economic growth, Oil and gas sector, Non-oil and gas sector, GMM, Sumatra.

JEL classification: C32, F43, O11
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