DIVERSIFICATION OF STRUCTURAL AND CRISIS RISKS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR OF THE ASEAN MEMBER COUNTRIES

Oleg ANDREEV

Samara State Economic University, Samara, Russia Andreev

oleg04@rambler.ru

Oksana LOMAKINA

Kuban State Agrarian University named after I.T. Trubilin, Krasnodar, Russia

olomakina88@rambler.ru

Ariadna ALEKSANDROVA

The Herzen State Pedagogical University of Russia, Sankt-Peterburg, Russia

araleksandrova@rambler.ru

Abstract

The study aims to assess the alternatives to the diversification of energy carriers in the ASEAN member countries in the context of minimizing the risks associated with the creation of an energy portfolio. To determine the level of diversification of energy carriers, the indicator of the diversification of the energy carriers of the country based on the Shannon-Wiener index is used. In order to identify possible changes in the energy market of the ASEAN member countries, three scenarios are proposed based on an increase in the share of renewable energy sources. The analysis of the energy production in the ASEAN member countries showed that Indonesia is the leader in the production of energy from traditional energy sources and Thailand has the most developed energy production from renewable energy sources. According to the two developed scenarios for increasing the share of renewable energy sources, there is an increase in the level of diversification of the energy sector in all countries considered. The assessment of possible deviations from the expected results according to the described scenarios for an increase in the share of renewable energy sources made it possible to single out countries affected by positive and negative deviations. 

Keywords: renewable energy sources, risk minimization, energy efficiency, power supply, scenario.

JEL classification: F2, F4, O2

 pp. 149-160

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PRODUCTION AND MARKETING EFFICIENCY OF PATCHOULI OIL INDUSTRY IN INDONESIA

E. ERNAWATI

Ph.D Scholar in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala (USK), Atsiri Research Center-Pusat Unggulan Iptek Perguruan Tinggi (ARC-PUIPT) Nilam Aceh, USK, Indonesia

minaraqi@yahoo.com

Raja MASBAR

Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala (USK), Indonesia

raja.masbar53@gmail.com

M. Shabri Abd. MAJID*

Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala (USK), Indonesia

 mshabri@unsyiah.ac.id

*Corresponding author

Abd. JAMAL

Associate Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Syiah Kuala (USK), Indonesia

abdjamal@unsyiah.ac.id

Abstract

This study aims to empirically measure and analyse the production and marketing efficiency of the patchouli oil industry in Aceh, Indonesia. The study uses primary data collected from 120 patchouli farmers and analysed using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach. The results showed that, on average, the patchouli oil production and marketing efficiency levels were in the moderate-eficient and the low-efficient categories, respectively. The patchouli farmers have great opportunities to improve their production and marketing efficiency by optimising the use of proper inputs’ combinations and agricultural intensification technologies.

Keywords: Production efficiency, Marketing efficiency, Agricultural technology, DEA

JEL classification: D24, C14, Q13

 pp. 135-148

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ASSESSMENT OF THE INTERCONNECTEDNESS OF CITIES IN THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST

Inna MANAEVA

Associate Professor of the Department of World Economy, Belgorod State National Research University, Russia, http://www.bsu.edu.ru

In.manaeva@yandex.ru

Anna TKACHEVA

Assistant of the Department of World Economy, Belgorod State National Research University, Russia, http://www.bsu.edu.ru

atkacheva1993@gmail.com

Elena CHENTSOVA

Associate Professor of the Department of Economics and Management, National University of Science and Technology “MISiS”(Stary Oskol branch), Russia,http://sf.misis.ru

chencowa@mail.ru

Elena ILYICHEVA

Deputy Director for Educational and Methodological Work, National University of Science and Technology “MISiS”(Stary Oskol branch), Russia,http://sf.misis.ru

EV.ilicheva@yandex.ru

Abstract

Today, determining the priorities of spatial and economic development of Russian cities is a key strategic goal in the Russian Federation. Acting as points of growth and connecting elements of economic processes, cities form a common framework of settlement. Existing urban disparities distort the territorial space, demonstrate its insufficient integrity, which reduces the quality of life of the population and poses a threat to socio-political stability.

The purpose of the study is to determine the features of the interconnectedness of cities in the Russian Far East using the Moran index. The estimation method is based on the calculation of the global and local Moran indices to determine the effects of connectivity of territories by indicators: “population size”, “population density”, “volume of products shipped per capita”, “average monthly salary”. The information base was the data of the Federal State Statistics Service, the distance calculation was carried out according to the data of the automobile portal. The object of the study is the cities of the Far Eastern Federal District, with a population of more than 100 thousand people in 2017.  The calculations made it possible to determine the type (direct and reverse) and the strength of interterritorial relations according to the considered parameters. According to the indicators “population size”, “population density”, there is a negative autocorrelation, according to the indicators “volume of products shipped per capita”,” average monthly salary”, there is a positive autocorrelation. The calculations revealed the presence of polarization in the territory of the Russian Far East. The strongest relationships are between Vladivostok (LISA -0,314), Khabarovsk (LISA -0,026) in terms of population; Artem (LISA -0,165) Vladivostok (LISA -0,084) – population density; Artem (LISA 0.116), Komsomolsk-on-Amur (LISA -0,036) – the volume of products shipped per capita; Ussuriysk (LISA 0.081), Artem (LISA 0.092) – average monthly wages.

The scientific significance of the conducted research consists in the development of theoretical and methodological provisions in relation to the assessment of spatial interterritorial relations. In the future, work will continue in terms of studying autocorrelation in dynamics, expanding the analyzed indicators and identifying spatial and temporal shifts, for a deeper understanding of the patterns of spatial development of cities.

Keywords: Moran index, spatial autocorrelation, inter-territorial connection, city

JEL classification: R12

 pp. 123-133

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