AGE AND COHORT ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL MIGRATION IN TURKEY

Elif Berna VAR

Landscape Architecture Department -Yeditepe University, Istanbul, Turkey

Burcin YAZGI

Urban and Regional Planning Department – Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey
yazgi@itu.edu.tr

Vedia DOKMECI

Urban and Regional Planning Department – Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey

Abstract

This article investigates current age cohort effects on regional migration in Turkey and compares the results with the pattern for the period 1985-1990. The vast amount of migration from the economically backward east and southeast regions to the more developed regions in the west of the country has been continuing for the last half-century. Age cohort analysis of regional migration is given for the periods 1985-1990, 2007-2008 and 2010-2011. Comparison of the results for each period reveals that while migration propensity peaked between the ages of 25-29 for the 1985-1990 period, it peaked between the ages 20-24 during the 2007-2008 and 2010-2011 periods. This could be the result of increasing number of universities which attract younger migrants at the country level. In more recent periods, while the ratio of child migration decreased, the ratios for younger, working age, persons and those in later life increased. Moreover, while the in-migration ratios of the more developed regions increased, those of the less developed regions decreased. Thus, it is expected that inter-regional migration contributes to the transformation of urban structure and the resulting new settlement system will generate a new pattern of growth and interaction among the regions.
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